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Red64
58949.0
421917.9
356127.0
Blue52
459711.5
473429.3
882720.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526302040801001206452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+16Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
59Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#3
1L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
64Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#11
27.01.0
18.019.1
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
blue by 2.3
4734
#10
29.30.3
19.719.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Second
4219
#30
17.91.0
12.113.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
blue by 2.7
8827
#33
20.60.3
19.819.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Third
5894
#42
9.01.7
18.320.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 2.5
4597
#20
11.50.3
15.615.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed