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Red144
461025.4
23136.6
808836.4
Blue66
354522.9
32409.1
859812.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8938020608010012014014466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+46Teleop
+48Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points38
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
24Processor points6
16Net points12
40Algae points18
96Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
30Foul points0
144Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#7
36.61.4
25.426.8
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
red by 13.7
22.90.6
16.116.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Second
36.41.4
32.133.5
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
red by 24.0
8598
#19
12.50.4
10.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
4610
#18
25.41.4
16.517.9
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 16.2
3240
#32
9.10.6
13.514.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed