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Red117
542728.4
356127.0
510324.8
Blue65
295018.0
265711.2
421917.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935002040608012014016011765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#9
53Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
77Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points0
117Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#38
28.40.6
27.027.6
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 10.4
2950
#15
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Second
3561
#11
27.00.6
25.726.3
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 9.1
4219
#30
17.90.4
17.617.9
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Third
5103
#12
24.80.6
23.524.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 13.6
2657
#14
11.20.4
10.911.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6