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Red146
557260.4
258246.4
697416.7
Blue80
354522.9
572619.1
461025.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149725010020014680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+68Teleop
+72Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#10
59Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#1
6Processor points12
28Net points4
34Algae points16
93Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points6
146Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.4
59.559.9
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 35.0
4610
#18
25.40.0
24.724.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
46.40.4
45.545.9
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 23.5
22.90.0
22.222.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Third
6974
#17
16.70.4
15.816.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 2.4
5726
#21
19.10.0
18.518.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3