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Red10
116420.8
296911.1
752112.7
Blue75
354522.9
572619.1
461025.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517502040601001201075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+55
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +49
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
0Total teleop49
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
10Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
#13
20.80.9
22.121.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.7
blue by 4.6
4610
#18
25.40.3
23.523.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
12.70.9
14.113.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 10.2
22.90.3
20.921.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Third
2969
#23
11.10.9
12.511.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.0
blue by 8.0
5726
#21
19.10.3
17.317.6
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3