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Red50
749232.7
373530.8
859812.5
Blue73
542728.4
356127.0
510324.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8885506070801001101205073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
35Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points8
50Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.6
33.733.1
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 4.3
5427
#38
28.40.2
26.526.3
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
30.80.6
31.831.2
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End1.4
red by 3.9
3561
#11
27.00.2
25.325.1
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Third
8598
#19
12.50.6
13.512.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 12.3
5103
#12
24.80.2
23.122.9
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0