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Red103
23136.6
550317.1
367929.5
Blue86
808836.4
61558.9
473429.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88796010012014010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
74Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
103Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#7
36.60.4
35.235.6
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
red by 0.1
36.40.3
36.236.5
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
Second
29.50.4
28.128.5
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
red by 0.2
4734
#10
29.30.3
29.129.3
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Third
5503
#22
17.10.4
15.816.2
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
red by 8.3
6155
#26
8.90.3
8.68.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0