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Red144
557260.4
258246.4
697416.7
Blue52
295018.0
265711.2
421917.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15548010020014452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+70Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
8Net algae#0
6Processor points6
32Net points0
38Algae points6
88Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#12
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
144Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.2
58.959.1
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 42.5
2950
#15
18.00.2
16.716.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Second
46.40.2
44.945.1
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 28.5
4219
#30
17.90.2
16.716.5
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Third
6974
#17
16.70.2
15.215.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 5.5
2657
#14
11.20.2
11.110.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6