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Red68
952411.3
510324.8
473429.3
Blue60
811414.3
461025.4
61558.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7445020601001206860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
50Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
68Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#10
29.30.4
28.729.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
red by 3.9
4610
#18
25.41.1
22.423.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
5103
#12
24.80.4
22.723.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 10.5
8114
#36
14.31.3
13.014.3
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
9524
#41
11.30.4
10.911.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
red by 2.5
6155
#26
8.91.1
7.58.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed