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Red50
265711.2
94447.8
421917.9
Blue69
71389.6
697416.7
965814.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060805069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+25
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
33Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points0
50Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#30
17.90.7
17.316.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 1.2
6974
#17
16.71.2
14.015.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Second
2657
#14
11.20.7
11.811.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 2.8
9658
#24
14.11.4
12.714.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Third
9444
#27
7.80.7
8.57.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End-0.7
blue by 1.8
7138
#25
9.61.1
8.59.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed