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Red66
808836.4
348113.1
Blue109
708811.7
749232.7
752112.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6862020408010012014016066109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
59Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points18
66Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.2
36.436.2
Auto2.1
Teleop32.9
End1.4
red by 3.7
32.71.8
31.933.7
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
3481
#28
13.10.2
13.313.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.4
12.71.7
12.414.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
8.70.2
8.98.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 3.0
7088
#31
11.71.8
9.911.7
Auto2.2
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned