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Red61
636987.4
885835.0
579017.8
Blue24
10014B20.0
77259.4
873217.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1793901001502002503003504006124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
Unranked
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 67.4
10014B
Unranked
20.07.3
12.720.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Second
8858
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
red by 17.9
8732
Unranked
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Third
5790
Unranked
17.813.2
4.617.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
red by 8.4
7725
Unranked
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End0.4