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Red51
457B23.5
45747.0
541169.8
Blue90
1001439.9
543128.8
284844.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18013701003004005190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
Unranked
69.80.0
69.869.8
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 25.7
2848
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
Second
457
Unranked
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
red by 7.1
10014
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Third
457B
Unranked
23.511.8
11.723.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End5.2
blue by 5.3
5431
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6