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Red37
258352.2
45747.0
541169.8
Blue74
750621.0
949257.5
910565.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20116501003004005003774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
Unranked
69.80.0
69.869.8
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 4.8
9105
Unranked
65.00.0
65.065.0
Auto15.6
Teleop42.3
End7.0
Second
2583
Unranked
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
blue by 5.3
9492
Unranked
57.50.0
57.557.5
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Third
457
Unranked
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
red by 26.0
7506
Unranked
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0