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Red77
677317.8
885835.0
636987.4
Blue104
874963.8
271843.8
1034050.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159173010030040050060070077104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
Unranked
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 23.6
8749
Unranked
63.80.0
63.863.8
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
Second
8858
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
blue by 14.9
10340
Unranked
50.00.0
50.050.0
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Third
6773
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 26.0
2718
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7