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Red16
42953.1
88797.6
28827.7
Blue136
43288.1
731222.1
857617.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43820206010012014016136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+120
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
12Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +120
0Foul points100
16Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2882
#26
7.73.7
13.59.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
blue by 14.5
22.14.6
22.918.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Second
8879
#34
7.63.7
15.511.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 10.2
17.74.6
28.824.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
4295
#31
3.13.7
12.08.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 5.0
4328
#29
8.14.6
17.012.4
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned