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Red109
11862.7
648819.6
1011826.4
Blue50
42953.1
837015.0
947817.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924702040608010012014010950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
68Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
4Foul points0
109Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
62.71.7
42.744.4
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
red by 45.2
9478
#21
17.50.7
16.916.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Second
26.41.7
16.818.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
red by 11.4
8370
#10
15.00.7
17.416.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
19.61.7
16.418.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
red by 16.5
4295
#31
3.10.7
8.37.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed