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Red41
421914.7
373520.2
43288.1
Blue60
817718.6
578814.3
951218.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56582040801004160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
41Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#15
20.22.8
17.214.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 1.6
18.60.6
19.819.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Second
4219
#25
14.72.8
20.117.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
blue by 3.3
9512
#12
18.10.6
14.614.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Third
4328
#29
8.12.8
12.49.6
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 6.2
5788
#22
14.30.6
13.613.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned