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Red42
918116.3
731222.1
839211.3
Blue34
526112.7
59234.8
62431.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447002060801001204234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
4Coral scored#2
13Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
17Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points6
42Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.3
18.318.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
blue by 9.3
624
#8
31.43.3
30.927.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
9181
#23
16.30.3
12.612.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
red by 3.6
5261
#32
12.73.3
13.810.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
8392
#14
11.30.3
8.68.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
red by 6.5
5923
#24
4.83.3
13.310.0
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned