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Red34
463927.6
541714.8
28827.7
Blue95
11862.7
66458.8
92897.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions468202040601001203495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
15Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points6
34Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#16
27.61.0
21.420.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
blue by 35.1
118
#1
62.72.5
44.446.9
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
Second
5417
#27
14.81.0
14.713.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.5
red by 6.0
6645
#30DQ
8.82.5
14.216.7
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
2882
#26
7.71.0
7.46.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
red by 0.3
9289
#28
7.42.5
7.710.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned