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Red90
1011826.4
43288.1
147749.0
Blue40
463927.6
85919.5
66458.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807102040601001201401609040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+28Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave3
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
15Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
51Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
90Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.9
36.738.6
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
red by 21.4
4639
#16
27.62.8
25.722.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Second
26.48.7
28.519.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
red by 16.8
8591
#17
9.52.8
15.813.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
4328
#29
8.11.9
15.117.0
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 0.8
6645
#30
8.82.8
21.418.6
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed