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Red72
526112.7
373520.2
680052.7
Blue94
11862.7
857617.7
814412.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961000501502007294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
48Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
14Foul points6
72Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.73.3
40.637.4
Auto15.4
Teleop31.7
End5.7
blue by 10.0
118
#1
62.70.2
41.140.9
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
Second
3735
#15
20.23.3
24.921.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 2.4
17.70.2
29.028.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
5261
#32
12.73.3
19.216.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 0.5
8144
#13
12.20.2
17.016.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned