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Red53
59234.8
951218.1
918116.3
Blue121
373520.2
947817.5
11862.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3898020608012014016053121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+50
Endgame+62
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
7Coral scored#15
25Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
43Total teleop73
Reef
2L4#10
2L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points6
53Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9512
#12
18.10.5
14.013.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 44.6
118
#1
62.72.0
46.948.9
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
Second
9181
#23
16.30.5
13.913.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
blue by 3.9
3735
#15
20.22.0
14.416.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Third
5923
#24
4.80.5
10.09.5
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 12.7
9478
#21
17.52.0
16.118.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned