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Red39
62431.4
23127.4
88797.6
Blue59
930711.5
1011826.4
578814.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704502060801001201401603959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
20Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
39Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#8
31.42.0
27.625.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 5.0
26.42.0
18.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Second
231
#11
27.42.0
20.618.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 13.1
5788
#22
14.32.0
13.015.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
Third
8879
#34
7.62.0
9.27.2
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 4.0
9307
#20
11.52.0
9.111.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned