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Red95
837015.0
731222.1
817718.6
Blue27
839211.3
43288.1
526112.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69320204060801001209527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop11
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
66Foul points6
95Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.12.8
18.615.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 9.4
5261
#32
12.70.9
10.59.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Second
18.62.8
19.216.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
red by 7.2
8392
#14
11.30.9
8.98.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Third
8370
#10
15.02.8
16.713.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 6.9
4328
#29
8.10.9
9.68.7
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed