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Red79
421914.7
918116.3
147749.0
Blue88
61809.3
680052.7
857617.7
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79770501001507988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
79Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.0
37.638.7
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
blue by 3.7
52.72.2
35.437.6
Auto15.4
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
9181
#23
16.31.0
12.813.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
blue by 1.5
17.72.2
23.025.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
4219
#25
14.71.0
17.318.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 5.5
6180
#19
9.32.2
9.511.8
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned