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Red57
92897.4
930711.5
62431.4
Blue97
147749.0
648819.6
458714.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518402040601001205797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +34
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
29Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points6
57Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#8
31.41.1
25.524.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
blue by 17.6
49.00.9
38.739.5
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
Second
9307
#20
11.51.1
11.210.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6
blue by 8.1
19.60.9
17.318.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
Third
9289
#28
7.41.1
10.29.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 6.6
4587
#18
14.00.9
13.214.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned