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Red29
731222.1
814412.2
85919.5
Blue39
421914.7
857617.7
837015.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416902060801001202939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
18Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points14
29Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.1
15.714.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 4.4
17.73.6
25.221.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Second
8144
#13
12.21.1
14.713.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
blue by 2.8
8370
#10
15.03.6
13.910.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
8591
#17
9.51.1
8.47.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 5.2
4219
#25
14.73.6
18.314.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed