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Red26
43288.1
88797.6
59234.8
Blue91
373520.2
1011826.4
23127.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26730204060801001202691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+53
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
0Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#14
16Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
22Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
26Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#29
8.11.2
8.77.5
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 19.3
231
#11
27.42.7
18.621.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
Second
8879
#34
7.61.2
7.25.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 18.8
26.42.7
20.523.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Third
5923
#24
4.81.2
9.58.2
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 15.3
3735
#15
20.22.7
16.419.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned