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Red64
947817.5
951218.1
66458.8
Blue27
817718.6
28827.7
61809.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239020801006427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
22Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
32Foul points0
64Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9512
#12
18.12.5
13.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 0.5
18.61.4
16.314.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Second
9478
#21
17.52.5
18.115.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 8.2
6180
#19
9.31.4
11.810.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
6645
#30
8.82.5
16.714.3
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 1.2
2882
#26
7.71.4
6.44.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned