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Red27
857617.7
947817.5
458714.0
Blue40
1011826.4
817718.6
59234.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635801001502740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
12Total teleop19
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
27Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.73.0
21.618.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
blue by 8.6
26.41.4
23.221.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Second
9478
#21
17.53.0
15.712.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
blue by 1.1
18.61.4
14.913.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Third
4587
#18
14.03.0
14.011.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End3.1
red by 9.2
5923
#24
4.81.4
8.26.9
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed