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Red82
814412.2
92897.4
463927.6
Blue77
731222.1
951218.1
88797.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5536020801008277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
68Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
82Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#16
27.61.6
22.824.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 5.5
22.12.5
14.617.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Second
8144
#13
12.21.6
13.615.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
blue by 5.8
9512
#12
18.12.5
11.013.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Third
9289
#28
7.41.6
9.110.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 0.2
8879
#34
7.62.5
5.98.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed