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Red77
66458.8
373520.2
648819.6
Blue20
61809.3
578814.3
42953.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684402060801001207720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +39
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
55Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
12Foul points0
77Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#15
20.20.2
19.219.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 5.9
5788
#22
14.33.0
17.314.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
Second
19.60.2
18.118.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
red by 10.3
6180
#19
9.33.0
10.37.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
6645
#30
8.80.2
14.314.4
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 5.7
4295
#31
3.13.0
9.36.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed