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Red81
837015.0
61809.3
373520.2
Blue46
28827.7
857617.7
918116.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46460204060808146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#2
20Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
30Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
36Foul points12
81Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#15
20.20.3
19.319.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 2.4
17.71.0
18.617.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Second
8370
#10
15.00.3
12.212.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 1.3
9181
#23
16.31.0
14.713.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
Third
6180
#19
9.30.3
7.37.7
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 1.6
2882
#26
7.71.0
6.95.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned