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Red89
951218.1
463927.6
421914.7
Blue85
648819.6
930711.5
23127.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70690204060801001201408985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
72Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
89Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#16
27.61.1
24.425.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 0.2
231
#11
27.41.5
24.325.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
Second
9512
#12
18.11.1
13.514.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 1.5
19.61.7
18.319.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
Third
4219
#25
14.71.0
15.216.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 3.2
9307
#20
11.51.7
9.511.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed