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Red52
92897.4
837015.0
85919.5
Blue54
814412.2
61809.3
88797.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40360102030506070805254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
52Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#10
15.00.4
12.612.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 2.8
8144
#13
12.20.2
16.316.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
Second
8591
#17
9.50.4
8.48.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 0.3
6180
#19
9.30.2
7.77.9
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
9289
#28
7.40.4
10.611.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 0.2
8879
#34
7.60.2
5.15.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned