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Red57
578814.3
837015.0
814412.2
Blue45
463927.6
918116.3
526112.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4774020601001201401605745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
31Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
16Foul points6
57Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#10
15.00.0
14.514.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 12.6
4639
#16
27.61.8
28.426.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Second
5788
#22
14.30.0
11.111.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
blue by 2.0
9181
#23
16.31.8
17.315.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
Third
8144
#13
12.20.0
15.315.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
blue by 0.5
5261
#32
12.71.8
13.311.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned