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Red35
458714.0
88797.6
373520.2
Blue55
541714.8
421914.7
23127.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47680204060801001203555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +16
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
20Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
35Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#15
20.20.4
20.820.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
blue by 7.2
231
#11
27.40.0
25.825.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
Second
4587
#18
14.00.4
13.212.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End3.1
blue by 0.9
5417
#27
14.80.0
12.412.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.5
Third
8879
#34
7.60.4
5.44.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 7.2
4219
#25
14.70.0
16.316.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed