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Red110
731222.1
11862.7
28827.7
Blue36
85919.5
648819.6
839211.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10745015011036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+64Teleop
+72Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
17Coral scored#3
60Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
74Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
2Foul points0
110Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
62.72.2
54.857.0
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
red by 43.1
19.60.7
20.920.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
Second
22.12.2
20.722.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 10.8
8392
#14
11.30.7
10.710.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Third
2882
#26
7.72.2
6.79.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
blue by 1.9
8591
#17
9.50.7
8.78.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed