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Red36
648819.6
947817.5
61809.3
Blue36
88797.6
526112.7
837015.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5944020801003636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
36Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
red by 4.6
8370
#10
15.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
9478
#21
17.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 4.8
5261
#32
12.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
6180
#19
9.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 1.7
8879
#34
7.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed