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Red110
23127.4
680052.7
731222.1
Blue51
373520.2
817718.6
930711.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11451010015020011051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#5
49Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
67Total teleop29
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points2
110Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.4
49.950.4
Auto15.4
Teleop31.7
End5.7
red by 32.6
3735
#15
20.20.7
19.618.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Second
231
#11
27.40.4
26.026.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 8.8
18.60.7
18.117.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Third
22.10.4
20.921.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 10.6
9307
#20
11.50.7
11.410.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned