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Red42
578814.3
458714.0
43288.1
Blue23
37284.0
918116.3
66458.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102030405060704223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+33Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +33
6Coral scored#1
21Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
35Total teleop2
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
42Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5788
#22
14.31.0
11.112.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
blue by 2.0
9181
#23
16.30.9
15.614.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
Second
4587
#18
14.01.0
11.612.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End3.1
red by 5.1
6645
#30
8.80.9
10.39.3
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
4328
#29
8.11.0
7.68.6
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
red by 4.1
3728
#33DQ
4.00.9
2.81.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed