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Red85
59234.8
680052.7
648819.6
Blue80
28827.7
147749.0
526112.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948040601001201408580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
46Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points0
85Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.3
50.450.1
Auto15.4
Teleop31.7
End5.7
red by 3.7
49.01.0
47.248.1
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
Second
19.60.3
19.619.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
red by 6.9
5261
#32
12.71.1
11.512.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
5923
#24
4.80.3
6.96.6
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 2.8
2882
#26
7.71.1
8.49.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned