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Red63
85919.5
930711.5
947817.5
Blue59
88797.6
839211.3
421914.7
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43401020305060706359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
45Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
63Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9478
#21
17.51.1
14.315.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 2.8
4219
#25
14.70.3
14.114.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Second
9307
#20
11.51.0
10.711.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6
red by 0.2
8392
#14
11.30.3
11.011.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Third
8591
#17
9.51.0
8.69.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 2.0
8879
#34
7.60.3
7.37.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed