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Red70
578814.3
37284.0
857617.7
Blue43
61809.3
92897.4
951218.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35500204060801007043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
51Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points6
70Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.72.1
15.517.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
blue by 0.3
9512
#12
18.10.8
18.317.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
5788
#22
14.32.1
12.014.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
red by 5.0
6180
#19
9.30.9
10.19.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
3728
#33
4.02.1
1.94.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 3.4
9289
#28
7.40.8
7.36.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed