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Red123
23127.4
11862.7
918116.3
Blue23
66458.8
42953.1
43288.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291405010015020012323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+82Teleop
+100Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
4Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
22Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +63
14Coral scored#2
49Coral points8
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
12Processor points6
16Net points0
28Algae points6
77Total teleop14
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#3
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points0
123Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
62.71.1
59.060.1
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
red by 53.9
6645
#30
8.80.5
9.38.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Second
231
#11
27.41.1
26.527.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
red by 19.3
4328
#29
8.10.5
8.68.1
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Third
9181
#23
16.31.1
14.615.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
red by 13.1
4295
#31
3.10.5
3.32.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned4%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed