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Red82
458714.0
62431.4
817718.6
Blue8
814412.2
59234.8
28827.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74320204060100120140828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+60Teleop
+66Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
9Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
50Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#0
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#1
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
10Foul points2
82Total score8

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#8
31.40.9
29.630.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 19.1
8144
#13
12.21.8
14.112.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
Second
18.60.9
17.418.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
red by 10.9
2882
#26
7.71.8
9.47.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
Third
4587
#18
14.00.9
12.513.5
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End3.1
red by 9.2
5923
#24
4.81.8
6.64.8
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed