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Red117
463927.6
947817.5
1011826.4
Blue82
458714.0
373520.2
421914.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86540204010012014016011782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
74Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points6
117Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#16
27.60.7
26.827.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 7.5
3735
#15
20.20.5
19.620.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Second
26.40.7
25.526.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
red by 11.6
4219
#25
14.70.5
14.214.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Third
9478
#21
17.50.7
16.517.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 3.5
4587
#18
14.00.5
13.514.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End3.1