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Red155
680052.7
11862.7
541714.8
Blue112
62431.4
92897.4
147749.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408950100150200155112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
96Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points2
155Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
62.70.5
61.061.5
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
red by 13.7
49.00.5
48.348.8
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
Second
52.70.5
51.051.5
Auto15.4
Teleop31.7
End5.7
red by 21.3
624
#8
31.40.5
30.731.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Third
5417
#27
14.80.5
13.113.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.5
red by 7.5
9289
#28
7.40.5
6.77.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2