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Red53
857617.7
526112.7
578814.3
Blue57
23127.4
930711.5
731222.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4476020601001201401605357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
42Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points8
53Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.2
17.617.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
blue by 9.7
231
#11
27.40.3
27.527.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
Second
5788
#22
14.30.2
14.114.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
blue by 7.8
22.10.3
22.222.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Third
5261
#32
12.70.2
12.512.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 1.2
9307
#20
11.50.3
11.611.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6